Mr Donald Trump and Mrs Hillary Clinton
From all the campaigning of US presidential election, 11 states out 50 will determine between Mrs Hillary Clinton and Mr Donald Trump who goes the White House when voters match to the polling centre to cast their votes on November 8, 2016.Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania are the three most important states out of the 11, if it can be clinched by either Hillary or Trump, then White House is sure.
From the statistics so far, if Hillary Clinton can just win one out of the three states, then she will be the first female and 45th US President
According to US system each state has number of electoral college votes reflecting its population size. Little New Hampshire has just four electoral college votes while California has 55.
If a candidate must win the presidency, then 270 electoral college votes out 538 must be secured and with recent reports the Democrat presidential candidate already has an upper hand
There 18 states the Blue Wall that have voted Democrat in the last six Presidential races and there is no evidence they are going to change colour this time round.
This means she already has 242 electoral college votes in the bag.
Trump needs to protect the 206 electoral college votes won by Mitt Romney in 2012 and then find another 64.
Here’s where Clinton and Trump are fighting for the votes:
The Sunshine State is the big one. With 29 electoral college votes it is a must win for Trump if he has any chance of getting to the White House.
For Clinton a win in Florida, even if she loses in Ohio and Pennsylvania, will secure her victory.
According to the US website 'FiveThirtyEight' Clinton has a 70% chance of winning in Florida.
In the ten polls of the state carried out since October 18 , Clinton has led in nine, with just one putting Trump ahead by 1%.
But others have detected a late shift to the Republican and say the result is a toss up.
Since the Second World War only once has Ohio failed to back the winning presidential candidate.
That was in 1960 when it went for Richard Nixon over John F Kennedy. Otherwise it has been the case of "win Ohio, win the presidency."
But this year could be different. Trump’s anti-globalization message has struck accord with the blue-collar workers in the state.
The last five polls have put him narrowly ahead .
With 18 electoral college votes, he must bank the Buckeye State to have any chance.
This former industrial heartland should be natural Trump territory. And with 20 electoral college votes in play, the Republican needs to win the Keystone State.
But Pennsylvania last voted for a Republican in 1988 and is now considered a Democrat shoo-in.
All the polls have put Clinton comfortably ahead with a lead of between 5% and 11%.
The Southern State with 16 electoral college votes used to be solid Democrat territory until it turned against the party in 1964 in protest at the Civil Rights Act.
The last time it voted Democrat blue was in 1992 when they went for Bill Clinton.
There is an outside chance it could vote for a Clinton again but most of the polls have Trump ahead by between two or three points.
This should be a Republican stronghold and 11 electoral college votes in the bank for Trump.
It has voted for the Grand Old Party in every Presidential election since 1952 except for 1996 when it backed Bill Clinton.
Democrats are hoping to pull off another surprise result this year.
The polls have the race neck and neck between Trump and Clinton with neither being able to establish a clear lead.
If you want to take temperature of American politics travel to Iowa.
The state has swung between Democrats and Republicans like a dog which cannot decide its owner.
It went for George W Bush in 2004 and then Obama in 2008 and 2012.
With just six electoral votes the prize is not huge but could prove decisive in a tight race.
The last three polls have put Trump marginally ahead.
After years of voting Republican, Michigan went blue in 1992 and has stayed with them ever since.
Trump had hoped to reverse the pattern in the Great Lake State which has suffered from industrial decline.
But barring a last minute setback the state is set to stay with the Democrats.
Clinton has led in every poll in the last month and looks set to pick up the 16 electoral college votes.
Once a Republican stronghold, Nevada has become a battleground state in recent elections.
The Silver State went for Bill Clinton in the 1990s before returning George W Bush’s Republicans.
In the last two presidential races they backed Barack Obama.
With six electoral college votes, the race is neck and neck between Trump and Clinton. Clinton led in several polls but the latest surveys point to a narrow win for the business mogul.
One of the 13 founding states New Hampshire is surrounded by a sea of Democrat blue.
But this little state, with just four electoral college votes, revels in its independence.
It last voted Republican in 2000 and there are few signs it will return red this year.
In every recent poll Clinton has been in the lead.
In 2008 Barack Obama broke the trend by winning the state for the first time since 1976.
But the Democrat tenure was short lived as they were evicted by the Republicans in 2012 one of the few states Mitt Romney took back from Obama.
The Democrats are campaigning intensively this time round with repeat visits from Clinton and sending Michelle Obama there to help.
With 15 electoral college votes it could ease Clinton’s path to the White House if she can pull off a surprise win.
Of the last 8 polls in the state, Trump has only been ahead in one.
After backing Ronald Reagan in the 1980s Wisconsin has been solidly Democrat in every presidential race since 1988.
But the run of blue wins were not a walkover and Obama only won by a narrow margin four years’ ago.
With ten electoral college votes, Clinton will be keen to win in the Badger State.
So far so good, recent the Democrat candidate is in good position of clinching the White House.
Source: Mirrior.....................
There 18 states the Blue Wall that have voted Democrat in the last six Presidential races and there is no evidence they are going to change colour this time round.
This means she already has 242 electoral college votes in the bag.
Trump needs to protect the 206 electoral college votes won by Mitt Romney in 2012 and then find another 64.
Here’s where Clinton and Trump are fighting for the votes:
The Sunshine State is the big one. With 29 electoral college votes it is a must win for Trump if he has any chance of getting to the White House.
For Clinton a win in Florida, even if she loses in Ohio and Pennsylvania, will secure her victory.
According to the US website 'FiveThirtyEight' Clinton has a 70% chance of winning in Florida.
In the ten polls of the state carried out since October 18 , Clinton has led in nine, with just one putting Trump ahead by 1%.
But others have detected a late shift to the Republican and say the result is a toss up.
Since the Second World War only once has Ohio failed to back the winning presidential candidate.
That was in 1960 when it went for Richard Nixon over John F Kennedy. Otherwise it has been the case of "win Ohio, win the presidency."
But this year could be different. Trump’s anti-globalization message has struck accord with the blue-collar workers in the state.
The last five polls have put him narrowly ahead .
With 18 electoral college votes, he must bank the Buckeye State to have any chance.
This former industrial heartland should be natural Trump territory. And with 20 electoral college votes in play, the Republican needs to win the Keystone State.
But Pennsylvania last voted for a Republican in 1988 and is now considered a Democrat shoo-in.
All the polls have put Clinton comfortably ahead with a lead of between 5% and 11%.
The Southern State with 16 electoral college votes used to be solid Democrat territory until it turned against the party in 1964 in protest at the Civil Rights Act.
The last time it voted Democrat blue was in 1992 when they went for Bill Clinton.
There is an outside chance it could vote for a Clinton again but most of the polls have Trump ahead by between two or three points.
This should be a Republican stronghold and 11 electoral college votes in the bank for Trump.
It has voted for the Grand Old Party in every Presidential election since 1952 except for 1996 when it backed Bill Clinton.
Democrats are hoping to pull off another surprise result this year.
The polls have the race neck and neck between Trump and Clinton with neither being able to establish a clear lead.
If you want to take temperature of American politics travel to Iowa.
The state has swung between Democrats and Republicans like a dog which cannot decide its owner.
It went for George W Bush in 2004 and then Obama in 2008 and 2012.
With just six electoral votes the prize is not huge but could prove decisive in a tight race.
The last three polls have put Trump marginally ahead.
After years of voting Republican, Michigan went blue in 1992 and has stayed with them ever since.
Trump had hoped to reverse the pattern in the Great Lake State which has suffered from industrial decline.
But barring a last minute setback the state is set to stay with the Democrats.
Clinton has led in every poll in the last month and looks set to pick up the 16 electoral college votes.
Once a Republican stronghold, Nevada has become a battleground state in recent elections.
The Silver State went for Bill Clinton in the 1990s before returning George W Bush’s Republicans.
In the last two presidential races they backed Barack Obama.
With six electoral college votes, the race is neck and neck between Trump and Clinton. Clinton led in several polls but the latest surveys point to a narrow win for the business mogul.
One of the 13 founding states New Hampshire is surrounded by a sea of Democrat blue.
But this little state, with just four electoral college votes, revels in its independence.
It last voted Republican in 2000 and there are few signs it will return red this year.
In every recent poll Clinton has been in the lead.
In 2008 Barack Obama broke the trend by winning the state for the first time since 1976.
But the Democrat tenure was short lived as they were evicted by the Republicans in 2012 one of the few states Mitt Romney took back from Obama.
The Democrats are campaigning intensively this time round with repeat visits from Clinton and sending Michelle Obama there to help.
With 15 electoral college votes it could ease Clinton’s path to the White House if she can pull off a surprise win.
Of the last 8 polls in the state, Trump has only been ahead in one.
After backing Ronald Reagan in the 1980s Wisconsin has been solidly Democrat in every presidential race since 1988.
But the run of blue wins were not a walkover and Obama only won by a narrow margin four years’ ago.
With ten electoral college votes, Clinton will be keen to win in the Badger State.
So far so good, recent the Democrat candidate is in good position of clinching the White House.
Source: Mirrior.....................
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